With 8 teams left, this weekend will help define the Super Bowl picture a little more. Last weekend we had 3 of 4 games with spreads at 3 points or less. This weekend is quite different. All 4 games carry point spreads of at least 4 points. In 2 of these games, the point spread is at least 7 points. How bettors place their bets will be interesting to watch. The underdog money lines are enticing, at least.
Ind @ KC: Kansas City is favored by 5.5 points, the O/U is 57. Defense won’t be much of an issue in this game. The Chiefs have one of the worst defenses in the league (#31 pass, #27 rush). Luckily for them, they have the offense to counter it. The Colts have a solid defense (#16 pass, #8 rush), but the KC offense may prove to be too much for them. Andrew Luck vs Patrick Mahomes is a QB match up that we all deserve. These guys will be airing it out all afternoon. I’ve seen a lot of ‘experts’ calling for the upset here. I just don’t see it. I think Mahomes and the Chiefs’ offense will be too much over 4 quarters. Lay the points, pound the over.
Dal @ LAR: Los Angeles is favored by 7 points, the O/U is 49.5. This game features 2 of the best RBs in the game. Ezekiel Elliott and Todd Gurley have propelled their teams into the playoffs, both having stellar seasons. The Cowboys boast the 5th ranked run defense, so Jared Goff will have to have the passing game clicking in the event that they can shut Gurley down. Aaron Donald will have his hands full up front keeping the Dallas offense from controlling the pace of the game. I think the Rams prevail, but I like the points. I also see a lower scoring game, so I’d take the under.
LAC @ NE: New England is favored by 4 points, the O/U is 48. The Patriots haven’t looked like the Patriots all season. That doesn’t mean Tom Brady won’t come through when it matters. Betting against Brady is always risky. The Chargers have an explosive offense and a very formidable defense, ranked #9 in both pass and run defense. I’m fully convinced that the Patriots win by using magic. That’s all, just magic. They always seem to be there even when they don’t look like a playoff team. Having said that, this is the most likely upset for me. The Chargers (+170) could very well pull this one off. Take the points, bet the under.
Phi @ NO: The Saints are favored by 8 points, the O/U is 51. These 2 teams are among the worst in the league in regards to pass defense. Expect an air attack on Sunday. Drew Brees is one of the best ever and it looks like he’s not slowing down. Big Dick Nick Foles continues to do Big Dick things. Can his winning ways continue? New Orleans has a 2-headed monster in their backfield with Kamara and Ingram. Philadelphia has RB by committee. Huge advantage to the Saints here. I think the Eagles’ run ends Sunday in New Orleans. Lay the points, bet the over.
We only have 7 games left in the entire season with 4 of them this weekend. That’s a little sad. Here’s to hoping we get great games at every turn. Have fun, bet wisely.